Financial Foundations

Summer 2018

 

December is upon us and summer has arrived with bushfires in Queensland and flooding rains in NSW. Our best wishes go out to all those affected as well as our brave emergency services workers. And to all our clients, we wish you a safe and happy holiday season.

November was a month of surprises. Oil prices plunged 22 per cent to US$58.73 a barrel after US President Donald Trump’s decision not to sanction Saudi Arabia over the murder of Jamal Khashoggi. British Prime Minister Theresa May reached agreement with the European Union on a plan for Brexit but getting the deal through the UK parliament will be difficult.

In Australia, the Victorian Labor Party won a landslide victory and Prime Minister Scott Morrison announced an early April 2 Federal Budget before a May election. The result of all this uncertainty was ongoing market volatility. Wall Street fell with oil prices but finished on a positive note after US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell seemingly indicated that US interest rates may not rise much further. The S&P500 finished the month 2 per cent higher.

Locally, the economic news was positive. The Reserve Bank lifted its growth forecast for 2018 to 3.5 per cent from 3.25 per cent. The Federal Budget edges closer to surplus, with a lower-than-expected budget deficit of $2.35 billion in the year to October, the best in a decade. Unemployment held steady at 5 per cent in October, while petrol prices dropped 22 per cent in November to a national average of $1.37 a litre, the biggest fall in a decade. The Australian dollar is trading around US73c, up from US70- 71c at the start of November. Australian consumers responded positively, with the ANZ/Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating firming slightly to 118.6 points.

Can you afford your dream retirement?

Planning your dream retirement can be an exciting time. The chance to travel overseas or around Australia without having to rush back to work, time to pursue new hobbies, learn a language or spend time with the grandkids. The possibilities are endless, but what will it cost?

Working out how much you will need to live the dream, and what you can afford will come down to a variety of factors. These include whether you own your home, the value of your superannuation and other investments, the return you earn on those investments and your spending patterns. You may also have a younger spouse who will be dependent on income from your investments after you die.

And that’s the big unknown, because none of us know how long we will live.

Plan for a long life

Today’s 65-year-olds can expect to live to an average age of 84.6 years for men and 87.3 for women, or roughly 20 and 22 years respectively in retirement. That’s a long time, and it’s only an average. Half will live longer than that.i

The challenge is to ensure your cash lasts the distance, however long that may be.

A good way to begin thinking about your retirement needs and working out a budget is to visit the ASFA Retirement Standard, where you will find detailed budgets for different households and living standards.ii

Adding up the costs

The ASFA Retirement Standard calculates that singles aged around 65 would need $27,425 a year to live a modest lifestyle while couples would need $39,442. A comfortable lifestyle would cost $42,953 for singles and $60,604 for couples.

To put this in perspective, the full age pension is currently $23,823.80 a year for singles and $35,916.40 for couples.iii As you can see, this does not stretch to ASFA’s modest budget, let alone a comfortable lifestyle, especially for pensioners who are paying rent or still paying off a mortgage.

Of course, everyone’s needs will be different. Some people may need to spend more on their health, while a contented gardener and homebody may need less money than a keen global traveller with a season ticket to opera, theatre or football.

It’s also important to recognise that your spending patterns are likely to change in predictable ways over the course of your retirement, determined by your health and mobility.

The three stages of retirement

Most people go through three phases of retirement.

The active years. In your 60s and 70s you finally have the flexibility to travel, spend time with the grandkids and pursue other interests. Expenditure is likely to be high, especially if overseas travel is high on your bucket list. You may also want to help your adult children financially.

Slowing down. At some point the joints get a little creaky, your mobility and activity decline as does your spending. Travel is closer to home, you may do some voluntary work and begin to live a little more frugally. Spending on health may increase and many will consider downsizing their home.

The frail years. Most of us hope to remain in our own homes, but many will spend our final years in residential aged care. This may be due to increased frailty, a sudden medical event or cognitive decline. Whatever the reason, spending on health and aged care are likely to increase significantly. While government subsidies may reduce the out-of-pocket costs, having savings will increase your options and access to high quality care at home or an aged card facility.

 

Seek professional help

Australians are living longer, healthier lives which means many of us can expect to enjoy almost as many years in retirement as we did in the workforce. And that requires careful financial planning.

Before you can set financial targets and investment objectives, you need to work out what your dream retirement might cost.

If you would like help to make your retirement dream a reality, give us a call.

i https://www.aihw.gov.au/getmedia/7b986857-7b41-4aae-b7ff-eab57eb20f13/20457.pdf.aspx?inline=true

ii https://www.superannuation.asn.au/resources/retirement-standard

iii https://www.humanservices.gov.au/individuals/services/centrelink/age-pension/eligibility/payment-rates